Relationships between occupation and Covid-19 outcomes
Categories: Office for National Statistics, Health & wellbeing, Inequality & social inclusion, World of work, Research using linked data, Research findings, Impact, Policy, Practice, People
15 July 2024
This research used data made available via the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Secure Research Service, which is being expanded and improved with ADR UK funding.
Author: Dr Sarah Rhodes, University of Manchester, www.manchester.ac.uk
Date: May 2024
Research summary
This work explored relationships between types of occupation and the risk of Covid-19 outcomes such as infection, severe disease and Long Covid. We found evidence that there were increased risks for some occupational groups and that this varied over time. For some occupational groups, high elevations in risk seen early in the pandemic largely disappeared by the later waves. The findings were fed into government departments and featured in an independent government report on Covid-19 and occupational impacts.
There are many workplace features that are likely to be related to the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (the virus that causes Covid-19) such as contact with other people, ventilation, likelihood of mask-use and ability to work from home. It was important to know which occupations, if any, are at increased risk from Covid-19, so that support strategies could be targeted to those groups during the pandemic and in future pandemics.
Additionally, identifying characteristics of occupational groups with elevated risks can also help us to identify workplace factors most likely to be related to the transmission of Covid-19. This means that modifications to the workplace can be put in place.
This work was supported by funding through the National Core Study 'PROTECT' programme, managed by the Health and Safety Executive on behalf of HM Government and funding from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) Coronavirus (Covid-19) Infection Survey funding bids.
Data used
This project used the ONS Covid-19 Infection Survey linked to the National Immunisation Service records.
Office for National Statistics; University of Oxford; National Health Service England, released 31 March 2023, ONS SRS Metadata Catalogue, dataset, COVID-19 Infection Survey linked to Combined Vaccination - UK, https://doi.org/10.57906/jgth-8v47
Methods used
We used responses to questions in the Covid-19 Infection Survey to group participants by their work status and occupation. We explored the relationships between occupational group and SARS-CoV-2 infection and Long COVID, and how these varied over time, using longitudinal regression models.
We included other variables such as age, gender, household size, socioeconomic status, ethnic group, region, other health conditions and vaccine status. This allowed us to explore whether or not relationships between occupation and Covid-19 illness remained evident once these variables were taken into account.
Research findings
Elevated risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection were seen when averaged over the whole time period from April 2020 to Nov 2021 for:
- workers in education
- workers in social care
- bus and coach drivers
- those working in the police and other protective services
when compared with non-essential workers.
When split by time, relative differences were greatest during the first two waves of the pandemic. For workers in healthcare, elevated risks were seen only early in the pandemic and then disappeared during the later stages of the pandemic. Education saw increased relative risks after the initial lockdown which persisted over the pandemic. These differences remained after taking into account other factors.
Rates of vaccination and timing of vaccination varied by occupational group. Including vaccine status in our analyses showed that variation in vaccine coverage only accounted for a very small proportion of the differences between occupations in terms of Covid-19 risk.
We classified jobs according to workplace characteristics thought to be related to Covid-19 risk, such as:
- number of workers
- types of contact
- ability to socially distance
- use of face coverings
- indoor versus outdoor locations.
This revealed strong correlations between these factors and infection rate very early in the pandemic, but these correlations were not evident after the first pandemic wave.
The prevalence of Long Covid varied by occupational group, with patterns largely matching those seen for SARS-CoV-2 infection risk.
Research impact
The PROTECT National Core Study was part of the Covid-19 National Core Studies programme spearheaded by the UK Government’s Chief Scientific Adviser. PROTECT findings were fed directly to government departments via internal reports, presentations and other communications.
The findings have been featured in the government independent report on Covid-19 and occupational impacts and a position paper from the Industrial Injuries Advisory Council. These made recommendations regarding compensation relating to Covid-19 acquired in the workplace for healthcare, social care, bus and taxi drivers and protective services, and acknowledge the variations in relative differences over time.
Research outputs
Publications and reports
- ONS Summary report, June 2022 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveyukfundedacademicprojectssummaryresults/2022
- Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health article, July 2022 https://jech.bmj.com/content/76/10/841
- Scandanavian Journal of Work, Environment and Health article, Dec 2022 https://www.sjweh.fi/article/4076
- Medrxiv Preprint June 2023 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.06.30.23292079v1
- Occupational and Environmental Medicine article (Long Covid), Sept 2023 https://oem.bmj.com/content/80/10/545
- Occupational and Environmental Medicine article (Vaccines), Dec 2023 https://oem.bmj.com/content/81/1/34
- PROTECT website, April 2024 https://sites.manchester.ac.uk/covid19-national-project/research-themes/sector-specific-studies/use-of-existing-datasets-to-explore-occupational-risks-from-sars-cov-2/
Presentations and awards
- Oral presentation at PROTECT COVID-19 Conference on transmission and environment, Nov 2021 Manchester https://doi.org/10.48420/19130717.v1
- Oral presentation at UK and Ireland Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Conference, April 2022, Online https://doi.org/10.48420/19453850.v1
- Oral presentation at Epidemiology in Occupational Health (EPICOH) Conference, March 2023, Mumbai https://oem.bmj.com/content/80/Suppl_1/A31.2
- Poster presentation at International Conference of Occupational Health (ICOH), April 2024, Marrakesh https://www.icoh2024.ma/programme.html
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